Archive for the ‘They’ Category
Do the pundits go from a YADA template? Are they really set deep in retardation, or do they just write for the opposite effect?
I can’t pick from all the brainless articles that have been going around since the iPad announcement (that I will humbly remind you that I discussed in August 2009). Which one to tackle? Hmmm, easy pickings, here’s one… from Yet Another Dumb Ass (YADA). And then you YOU HAVE TO see the original article linked to at the end…ya just have to. Now to be honest, I changed a few words (in underline bold italics ) , just so to underline-embolden and italicize the points made here.
Apple iPad Will Fail in a Late, Defensive Move: Matthew Lynn
Commentary by Matthew Lynn
Jan. 15 (Bloomberg) — Few products have been launched with such a blizzard of publicity as Apple Inc.’s iPad.
To its many fans, Apple is more of a religious cult than a company. An iToaster that downloads video and books while toasting bread would probably get the same kind of worldwide attention.
Don’t let that fool you into thinking that it matters. The big competitors in the mobile industry won’t be whispering nervously into their clamshells over a new threat to their business.
The iPad is nothing more than a luxury bauble that will appeal to a few gadget freaks. In terms of its impact on the industry, the iPad is less relevant.
If column inches and airtime guaranteed commercial success, Apple would already have a global hit on its hands. For the past week, it has been impossible to open a newspaper or look at a Web site without reading something about the shiny new tablet.
Certainly, it loors like a nice piece of equipment. The iPad combines Apple’s iPhone and an eBook with a browser as well as having wireless Internet access for full e-mail. Instead of lugging around a netbook or laptop. Even better, its battery life lasts all day.
It will be released in the U.S. in June, with a rollout to the rest of the world later, and will cost $499 to $599, depending on how much storage space you want. How many might they sell? Millions, according to Apple Chief Executive Officer Steve Jobs.
Three Reasons
Not everyone is sold on the idea.
“The iPad will not substantially alter the fundamental structure and challenges of the mobile industry,” Charles Golvin, an analyst at Forrester Research Inc., said in a report this month.
There are three reasons that Apple is unlikely to make much of an impact on this market — and why it is too early to start dumping netbooks, ebooks and tablets competitors shares.
First, Apple is late to this party. The company didn’t invent the personal computer or MP3 player, but it was among the pioneers of both products. Yet there is no shortage of netbooks, ebooks and tablets out there. There are already big companies that dominate the space, all of whom will defend their turf. That means Apple will have to fight hard for every sale.
Next, the mobile industry depends on cooperation with the other big companies [...]. Apple has never been good at working with other companies. If it knew how to do that, it would be Microsoft Corp.
Lastly, the iPad is a defensive product. It is mainly designed to protect the iPhone, which is coming under attack from mobile manufacturers adding smart phone capabilities to their products. Yet defensive products don’t usually work — consumers are interested in new things, not reheated versions of old things. Likewise, who is it pitched at? The price and the e-mail features make it look like a business product. But Apple is a consumer company. Will your accounts department stump up for a fancy new handset just so you can watch Avatar on your way to a business meeting?
Fresh Competition
In many ways, that is a shame. The mobile industry is becoming a cozy cartel and a limited range of manufacturers. It could certainly use a fresh blast of competition from an industry outsider.
It may come — but probably from an entrepreneurial start-up somewhere.
It won’t come from the iPad. Apple will sell a few to its fans, but the iPad won’t make a long-term mark on the industry.
(Matthew Lynn is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are his own.)
And now, here’s the original, enjoy as you read this and all the other YADAs that are a little more current.
Apple Will Fail in a Late, Defensive Move: Matthew Lynn – Bloomberg.com.
Sometimes I will do a Google on “Apple” and click on news…just to see, well, just to see what’s new.
I do believe in the adage “no news is good news”, so when there is no news and all we get is made up news, well it is kind of funny. You know, like those mags you see in the grocery line, kind of takes away from the boredom as the old lady in front of you argues with the clerk about the price of a can of beans.
When googling though, I am looking for real news, so it is irritating. Like today, the BIG STORY is the rumor that the rumored iPod with a rumored camera may have a technical glitch! Wow! I just did a Shift-Command-4 (on the mac) to snapshot the results of this historic hour:
Now yesterday, it was different “news” about different speculations. Yeah, news about speculations, which is not much different than news about rumors of rumors, but close. The speculation is regurgitated, cyclic, but these days the blogosphere’s roller coaster had sped to warp speed. I suspect they are getting paid for this. But for crying out loud, Beatles and Tablet’s again? That was the search result topper yesterday. I didn’t snapshot it. I think I will do that for now on (Shift-Command-4 is becoming second nature to me anyway). But take my word for it yesterday, August 7, 2009, the top Apple news story on google was:
Apple telegraphs iPods; fans see Beatles, tablets via The Associated Press: Apple telegraphs iPods; fans see Beatles, tablets.
I actually read the story, then felt stupid. Even I can get suckered into clicking on certain things. I am a humongous Beatle fan, big time Tablet guy for almost 20 years, Apple is my focus these days…I fell for it. Its really a drag when you read so called “news” and there is nothing new, and it actually is irritating because there is a lot wrong and you almost want to waste your time in the comments section correcting the wrongness. But I didn’t this time, I’d rather blog about it ;-)
So what was wrong with the article? Well, on the Beatles, it was the same o same o rumor that the Beatle recordings will be sold on iTunes finally. Yeah, yeah, yeah, but this time for sure! Uh, but then the article says only if Paul and Ringo agree to it. I swear my 8 year old neighbor’s kid could make up better stories than this (btw, Paul and Ringo are all for this, but they don’t have the final say on any of this, the record company does of course…now why does the Sex Pistol’s “EMI” come to mind?).
Anyway, you’ll notice that “Apple Tablet” thingy is still hot too (even along with this iPod glitch tragedy) . Nothing new.
It’s ain’t going to be a tablet
Then again, Apple could release and market a “Tablet”…which would be a major mistake, and I could be one of those negative pundits.
Why an Apple “iPad” makes sense.
So, yesterday while falling for that I also notice one article on one subject. Apple Insider published
Technical issues could delay iPod camera upgrade
and of course I fell for that too. I mean it actually looked like news. Errr…nope…just a bunch a speculation based on some “reliable source” that there is a camera glitch, bla bla bla. Yeah, technical product, with technical glitch. Uh uh. Now of course, the implication is that this “glitch” is mega news! The End Of The World news, at least for Apple. It “could”, “might” RUIN Apple’s big event tomorrow. It “could, might, maybe”, send Steve Jobs back to the hospital, oh the drama.
I blew it off yesterday, I mean it is silly, it doesn’t make sense. Yeah, a glitch does, but the end-of-the-world implications is nutso. Yet…next day, today, there are 218 articles that confirm (cough cough) this. Regurgitated from the original Apple Insider post which simply used a “reliable source” that basically says not much. Wow. Its like astrologists, you know, they may get your horoscope wrong 300 hundreds days of the year, but you remember the few times they were sorta close. If they are wrong, and you point it out, they will use the semantics of language (like Nostradamus followers) as a defense
…let’s follow this one, be back tomorrow.
I just read some guy said Whole Foods customers shop there because it fulfills their progressive views…hmmm, I shop there because I like the Roasted Red Pepper Spaghetti sauce.
Liberal anger at WHOLE FOODS CEO for writing op-ed against Obama Health Reform…
I have been thinking about telling the full story of the stylus-driven computer devices, especially what happened during the 1990’s – where from my unique point of view a full chapter of history on this technology has been forgotten, misremembered, and never properly recorded.
Of course, currently I am being driven by the hype and heated rumors of Apple’s upcoming Tablet (just google it)… I’ve seen this hype before, for 20 years as a matter of fact, but never this loud.
Anyway, if you know me, you know I know tablets (and their many other AKAs).
Mobilepoint (e-case)
The word “Tablet” actually would be one of the dumbest names Apple could use and it shows how Microsoft has brainwashed the media. “Tablet” might have been appropriate 10 years ago when these devices were more than an inch thick, but this is the 21st century. Besides the fact that the “Tablet PC” has been a grandiose failure – not because it was called a “Tablet”, but because it was using a OS that is meant for desktop PC’s. Big, and fat OS at that. Putting a little i in front of the word won’t fix the word. Forget it.
So, anyway, I came across an inquiry on the google finance board which summarizes the entire wacko world of Internet speculation on these rumors….:
http://finance.google.com/group/google.finance.22144/browse_thread/thread/80c7af8e9b015a30
“Subject: iTablet Aug 9, 7:58 pm
I would like to hear your opinions on what OS you think tablet will
use. Full-fledged Mac OS makes better sense to me, as I would like to
be able to use on it apps like Photoshop,Pages,Numbers,Rhino and
others. But full-fledged Mac OS on it might cannibalize laptop sales.
iPhone Touch OS allows for fast development of many apps, but doesn’t
allow existing desktop graphic, 3D modeling etc. apps. Hybrid? Full
Mac OS with some bridge to iPhone apps? Hmm. Not sure. Then there is
the price. For expected $800 for device I would expect full Mac OS,
not just access to app store apps. Personally, I would be willing to
spend $800 for tablet with full OS, not for limited iPhone Touch like
OS.”
Ignoring the desire for a Mac OS I focused on the word tablet and whipped out this response.
“Well, we know it will be OS X…
The question at a technical level is whether it will be cocoa (as in
Leopard) or cocoa touch (as in iPhone).
It will take a lot of guts on Apple’s part to create a new platform,
but if they do it won’t be called a tablet. I agree, the appstore is
very inviting, especially with a larger and more capable device. I
would guess it will be based on the iPhone OS, and overall won’t be
radically different than the iPhone other than it have a little more
of everything. It will be a challenge not to screw up the user
interface, with a screen slight bigger the thumb won’t be the primary
stylus anymore. Most likely it will be a Personal Communicator class
of device, somewhat smarter than a smart phone, somewhat less desktop
oriented than a Mac. I am also guessing it will be called the iPhone
Pro. You heard it from eddie clay first.”
Yep, “iPhone Pro” makes sense. Although if Apple had the guts they would resurrect the “iBook”name, but only if it was truly going to be a new platform or at the very least, presented a user interface and organization metaphor beyond the iPhone’s. More what that might be (and why you don’t want a “full fledge Mac OS X”) in my next post.
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A lot of new and interesting things for developer’s has been announced at the Apple developers conference, yet I was struck by this article from PC World:
WWDC No Shows: 10 Things We Wanted From Apple and Didn’t Get.
What was number one item?
1. The Apple Tablet
Much of the tech community expected Apple to unveil some sort of tablet-like device at the WWDC this week. Reports suggested a 10-inch touchscreen could be coming our way, priced between $500 and $700 and running a Mac OS X-like operating system with multitouch capabilities.
Every since Moses its seems humans have been fascinated by Top Ten Lists and Tablets.
will be a Personal Communicator, as envisioned in 1993…notice the expandable screen. [link]
I don’t even want to link to the analysts on this subject…about how the iPhone’s features compare to other smartphone OS’s such as android, Palms (Pam Pre) and the blackberry’s…Multitasking seems to be the biggest lacking feature on their charts. This is completely worng….and misses the point.
This is a Phone platform for phones first and foremost, not a general purpose platform. It could be though, but it isn’t. This is very similar to what we experienced in the 90’s with personal communicators…we got confused because an OS like Penpoint was so powerful, we forgot what the "point" really was for the consumer problems to be solved.
Nothing should take away from the user experience at a cost consumers expect from a phone. That is, a spinning beachball, or hourglass is one of most annoying user experiences we can have on a computer, but its totally unacceptable on a phone. What is amazing about the iPhone is it can maintain the phone metaphor while also being a platform for so many general purposes. That’s why we are confused.
Eventually this technology will solve most of the problems that laptops solve (it is OS X after all), and I expect more platforms (e.g. webpads) with different metaphors based on this technology (multi touch) …but a smartphone thats more like a laptop? Microsoft wishes…
More on THEY. The thing is, this article will not get copied, plagiarized, regurgitized across the netsphere as truth (like the current trash $99 iPhones, and “Apple bans facebook” mumbles that are going around) :
via A Consumer’s Guide to Apple Rumors | Technologizer:
There are many unique things about Apple, Inc. And one of the oddest of all is the degree to which straightforward reporting about the company’s activities has been drowned out in recent years by a surging sea of rumor, speculation, prediction, and–increasingly—wishful thinking. Everybody, it seems, wants to spoil the surprise of Apple product launches by revealing the secrets which the company works so very hard to keep. But a remarkable percentage of the these soothsayers are just plain terrible at their chosen profession. They’ve become the Gang That Couldn’t Predict Straight.
As the quality of Apple scuttlebutt has nosedived, I’ve become more interested in the culture of Apple rumors than in most of the rumors themselves. With this article, I’m beginning a series on the Apple Rumor Game.
I always enjoy naysayers being wrong, the ones that is, that said it with such conviction. The interesting thing about the latest bigtime success story, the Apple iPhone, is that it was launched during a time where naysayers really had their say (blogs blogs and more blogs) and therefore they are well documented as what they are: ANALysts – with emphasis on the first 4 letters. Here’s a google search on the negbobs to enjoy…its funny, I notice pretty much all the reasons for predicted failure were likely the reasons for its success. Of course, no one had a clue about the app store’s success or failure at the time.
“iphone will fail” – Google Search.
I especially enjoyed this querp:
The average person doesn’t even use the WAP browser on their phone, let alone any full blown OSX apps! What people want in a mobile phone is a phone; they don’t need all of these extras. Extra software just makes it more difficult to perform the main function of the phone: to make phone calls.
Yea, that’s brilliant, using WAP as a measuring stick (yeah the same WAP guys who said users are stupid…then again they went IPO with a symbol “PHCM”. Ok, so they laughed to the bank I guess)
…anyway, this is akin to that guy 50 years or so ago saying there is a world market for about 7 computers or whatever, or that guy who said “No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer”.
To give these guys a break (not really), all analysts that predict anything (fail or success) are probing in the area of the body part their name includes.
The ones that get things right once in awhile? Same category as far as I can tell. I suggest people read The Drunkard’s Walk if you want to disagree with me. It verifies everything we suspect, broken clocks can be right twice a day, they just don’t get acclaimed to be brilliant fortune tellers. Oh yes, it also makes the other point we saw in the wight rooms in high school: “luck is opportunity meeting preparation”.
Highly suggested reading. Here’s a overview of the book:
In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.
The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO–in fact, of all our destinies–reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth’s single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.
How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor’s office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow’s insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
Who was that CEO he’s talking about?? oh yeah the guy who said:
“No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer.”
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