Archive for the ‘Computers’ Category

2
Jan

“iphone will fail” – Google Search

   Posted by: Clay

I always enjoy naysayers being wrong, the ones that is, that said it with such conviction.  The interesting thing about the latest bigtime  success story, the Apple iPhone, is that it was launched during a time where naysayers really had their say (blogs blogs and more blogs) and therefore they are well documented as what they are: ANALysts – with emphasis on the first 4 letters.  Here’s a  google search on the negbobs to enjoy…its funny, I notice pretty much all the reasons for predicted failure were likely the reasons for its success.  Of course, no one had a clue about the app store’s success or failure at the time.

“iphone will fail” – Google Search.

I especially enjoyed this querp:

The average person doesn’t even use the WAP browser on their phone, let alone any full blown OSX apps! What people want in a mobile phone is a phone; they don’t need all of these extras. Extra software just makes it more difficult to perform the main function of the phone: to make phone calls.

Yea, that’s brilliant, using WAP as a measuring stick (yeah the same WAP guys who said users are stupid…then again they went IPO with a symbol “PHCM”.  Ok, so they laughed to the bank I guess)

…anyway, this is akin to that guy 50 years or so ago saying there is a world market for about 7 computers or whatever, or that guy who said “No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer”.

To give these guys a break (not really),  all analysts that predict anything (fail or success) are probing in the area of the body part their name includes.

The ones that get things right once in awhile?  Same category as far as I can tell.  I suggest people read  The Drunkard’s Walk if you want to disagree with me.   It verifies everything we suspect,  broken clocks can be right twice a day, they just don’t get acclaimed to be brilliant fortune tellers.  Oh yes, it also makes the other point we saw in the wight rooms in high school:  “luck is opportunity meeting preparation”.

Highly suggested reading.  Here’s a overview of the book:

In this irreverent and illuminating book, acclaimed writer and scientist Leonard Mlodinow shows us how randomness, change, and probability reveal a tremendous amount about our daily lives, and how we misunderstand the significance of everything from a casual conversation to a major financial setback. As a result, successes and failures in life are often attributed to clear and obvious cases, when in actuality they are more profoundly influenced by chance.

The rise and fall of your favorite movie star of the most reviled CEO–in fact, of all our destinies–reflects as much as planning and innate abilities. Even the legendary Roger Maris, who beat Babe Ruth’s single-season home run record, was in all likelihood not great but just lucky. And it might be shocking to realize that you are twice as likely to be killed in a car accident on your way to buying a lottery ticket than you are to win the lottery.

How could it have happened that a wine was given five out of five stars, the highest rating, in one journal and in another it was called the worst wine of the decade? Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how wine ratings, school grades, political polls, and many other things in daily life are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of change and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives fresh insight into what is really meaningful and how we can make decisions based on a deeper truth. From the classroom to the courtroom, from financial markets to supermarkets, from the doctor’s office to the Oval Office, Mlodinow’s insights will intrigue, awe, and inspire.

Who was that CEO he’s talking about?? oh yeah the guy who said:

“No one will need more than 637KB of memory for a personal computer.”

9
Dec

Apples in Real Estate

   Posted by: Clay Tags: ,

According to a NAR Tech survey report Mac OSX was being used by on;y by 4% of the total Realtor workforce in 2007.  Surely that number has increased in 2008, and surely that number is greater in the Bay Area.   However, there is no doubt a vast majority of Real Estate agents use Windows-based machines, at work and at home.

Its just a fact that I find curious.  Sales people, the majority of the good ones, are first and foremost relationship people, and often the character traits of a people-person often conflicts with being “tech-savvy”.    Solving tech problems, tweaking hours upon hours to make machines and software work as geeks love to do…is not what people-savvy people do.

Now Real Estate sales people are the extreme example of this.  I mean yes, a whole flock of tech savvy marketing people went into real estate after the internet bubble pop, but most are out of it by now.   Some are successful, over the internet, I suppose.  But I still maintain the best agents are the face-to-face experts, the small talking, listening, caring, social extroverts that tech people often are not.  Tech savvy people usually don’t talk or listen to their computers (unless in expletives), they focus and solve, alone.

Now the  PC is a relationship tool, a communications tool, and a very necessary tool mostly for when not face to face.   The thing is the people savvy people are told by the tech savvy people they need to use Windows.  Yes they are…either directly, or by de facto, because of the usual MLS or web site dependency on Microsoft products.  Like this interesting advice:

Is an Apple Smart Real Estate Technology?

By using Fusion (or Parallels) with Windows XP there is no reason to give up the reliability and easibilty of a Mac.  So I don’t get it, other than yeah, someone will have to set it up for the non tech savvy person.  Hmmm, but then there is a lot more tech support cost (er job security?)  by supporting only Windows machines…

From Silicon Alley_insider

Apple’s (AAPL) iPhone and iPod touch customers have downloaded some 300 million software apps since Apple started selling them in July. We estimate that Apple has booked $50 million to $100 million in revenue so from those sales.

So my comment is one way or the other its a growing number. Think of “Touch” as an evolving platform for many products now. Not just for iPods, or iPhones, but hand held gaming, netbooks, etc…its the iTunes model gone bonkers…it’s possible when all this recession smoke clears Apple will own the internet device world.

17
Nov

Apple Certified Support Professional

   Posted by: Clay


yes I am.

25
Oct

Itunes Confused on Play Time

   Posted by: Clay Tags: ,

I don’t know if anyone else has this problem, couldn’t find it on google.  But sometimes when I import files, after converting from flv to mp3, (say from youtube) itunes gets confused on the stop time.  For a  2 minute song for example, its says Stop Time 23:33:09 or something riduculous.  The song still plays fine.  But if you want to do something that depends on it, like cut a regular CD, iTunes figures it in on calculating space….so basically the song takes up the whole CD.  Arg..Can’t fix it in Get Info.  So I am looking for reset or recalculate tool, there isn’t one…What does work is simply “Create WAV version” under the tab setting, simple as that, delete the original mp3.  Convert back to mp3 later if I have time.

22
Oct

Selling Apples

   Posted by: Clay

Apple Selling during the Depression

Apple Selling during the Depression

Well, the media is all gloom and doom, and it is even hitting the Apple sellers…er, I mean Apple.  Yeah, here is a company that has increased its profit and market share by unbelievable amounts, major cash on hand, (yeah, forget the credit crunch) and has established platform for the next decade that will enable it to enter consumer market areas and cause havoc for competitors like a bull in a china shop.  And Steve Jobs hasn’t even died yet despite the rumors.  Something, somebody somewhere is playing games…the stock is down down down…the negative media is all over the place twisting it, like the mercury news headline “Apple profits beat estimates, but sales disappoint”…huh?  This is a distortion at best, the s Sales as Jobs (as energetic as ever) explained, were the most remarkable in the companies’ history.

I wrote about it here…and I am no apple fanboy.  Well, now I am I guess.  I am wondering, is it politics? Or are we truly entering into a depression.  Well one way or another I think one could do worse than getting into the apple business.

Page 2 of 212